Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000261 0.000292 0.000326 0.000364 0.000406 0.000453 0.000506
2025-04-13 0.000217 0.000259 0.000307 0.000365 0.000434 0.000514 0.000612
2025-04-20 0.000183 0.000231 0.000288 0.000361 0.000453 0.000564 0.000708
2025-04-27 0.000164 0.000217 0.000283 0.000372 0.000489 0.000637 0.000838
2025-05-04 0.000147 0.000203 0.000275 0.000378 0.000517 0.000701 0.000962
2025-05-11 0.000133 0.000190 0.000268 0.000381 0.000542 0.000761 0.001085
2025-05-18 0.000119 0.000176 0.000257 0.000379 0.000557 0.000809 0.001193
2025-05-25 0.000109 0.000168 0.000252 0.000383 0.000582 0.000871 0.001326
2025-06-01 0.000099 0.000156 0.000242 0.000379 0.000593 0.000913 0.001432
2025-06-08 0.000091 0.000148 0.000235 0.000378 0.000608 0.000962 0.001550
2025-06-15 0.000084 0.000140 0.000229 0.000379 0.000626 0.001016 0.001681
2025-06-22 0.000077 0.000133 0.000222 0.000377 0.000637 0.001059 0.001796
2025-06-29 0.000072 0.000127 0.000218 0.000380 0.000660 0.001125 0.001958
2025-07-06 0.000067 0.000121 0.000214 0.000382 0.000680 0.001187 0.002118
2025-07-13 0.000062 0.000114 0.000206 0.000377 0.000688 0.001231 0.002250
2025-07-20 0.000059 0.000112 0.000208 0.000389 0.000727 0.001329 0.002486
2025-07-27 0.000056 0.000109 0.000206 0.000395 0.000754 0.001410 0.002698
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000105 0.000203 0.000399 0.000779 0.001486 0.002906
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000100 0.000198 0.000396 0.000790 0.001539 0.003075
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000097 0.000196 0.000401 0.000816 0.001622 0.003306
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000093 0.000190 0.000397 0.000824 0.001669 0.003472
2025-08-31 0.000041 0.000089 0.000186 0.000396 0.000838 0.001730 0.003669
2025-09-07 0.000039 0.000086 0.000183 0.000397 0.000857 0.001801 0.003892